Featured Post

SECRETS FROM EXPERIENCE

An Experience that revealed me certain secrets of life.      It was my second half of teenage. I was losing control of my mind over body...

Sunday, August 29, 2010

HORSE RACING




PICKING WINNERS IN HORSE RACING – GUIDELINES
( The following guidelines are applicable when the horses are allowed to run on merit. By observation about 40% races are run on merit. There is need to study the psycology of racing. Even among the above said balance of 60% most of the horses are among the first four of the horses as per calculations under the guidelines. Guide lines are approximate and are supposed to be near accuracy and should not be taken for granted as accurate.)
While studying performance of any horse, select as many races of previous performances as possible at least upto previous one year. At times even the 5th or 6th places of the horse gives faster timings. So select a suitable race book that gives many performances. At a glance select one or two races wherein the timings seem to be fast, for the purpose of further calculation.
PLACEMENT TIMINGS:
Most of the books give the placement timings. Take it as it is. If not given, calculate the place timings from the winner timings and the distance of the horse from the winner in lengths. One length is = 0.2 seconds. For example if the horse place is 3 lengths away from the winner add 3x0.2=0.6 seconds to the winners timings. If the winner timing is 1m 39.8 sec. for the race distance of 1600 metres, the placement timing of the horse under consideration is 1m 39.8 sec. + 0.6 sec. = 1m 40.4 seconds.
WEIGHT CORRECTION:
For this purpose, we must know how many kgs (excess or less) are needed to arrive at a difference of one length (excess or less) in a fixed distance. The following table gives as guideline for the same.
1000m 1100 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000m
3.1kgs 2.8 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0kg. Respectpvely
Suppose as per placement timings the horse timing is 1m 40.4 seconds when it carried a weight of 55 kgs., as in a selected previous race, and the horse is now carrying 60kgs as handicap weight, the following are the calculations. As per the above table one length accounts for 2 kgs of weight in a distance of 1600m. Now there is a difference of 5 kgs. Corresponding equivalent lengths = 5/2=2.5 lengths or 2.5x0.2 sec. =0.5 sec. (as 1 length= 0.2 sec.). So its timing with 60 kgs weight should be 1m 40.4 +0.5 secs. = 1m 40.9 seconds.
FALSE RAILS CORRCTION:
For the sake of uniformity and convenience, we have to convert this false rails effect into no false rails condition. For this purpose, the false rails on the curve portion is more effective. Every meter of false rails will increase the length by 3 m (more exactly by 3.14 m) or one length (0.2sec.). If there is 2m false rails in the curve the increase in time is 2x3x0.2/2.4 lenths = 0.5 seconds (since one length=2.4 meters and one length = 0.2 sec.) . Usually the curve is between 1000m mark and 400m mark.  As an example if in the previous race considered, the false rails in the curve is 2m, then the correction for no false rails condition is – 0.5 sec. as above.Therefore including placement and correction , it becomes 1m 40.9-0.5 sec.= 1m 40.4 seconds for no false rails condition. If there are two curves the correction for the second crve is 1m 40.4.0.5=1m 39.9sec. For longer  distances like 2800m and more there is need of correction for two curves, if there are false rails in the other curve also. In such case the corection will be double (2x0.5=1.0 seconds)for both curves). Correction to false rails along the straight portion is not required if the false rails width is less than that in the curve. If the width of false rails along the straight portion is more than that of curve, correction is required for every 2.4m extra on either side at the rate of one length or 0.2 x2=0.4 on either side of straight lengthseconds per each extra false false rails. However this can be neglected as it is small. In case the distances are measured along the false rails, there is no need for corrections due to false rails. But since the false rails are not uniform from race to race it is always preferable to correct the timings to no false rails condition duly applying the above corrections. 
CORRECTION DUE TO PENETROMETER READING:
To arrive at this correction, one has to fix a suitable penetrometer reading for the race day and race station and convert the effect of other penetrometer readings of races considered for calculation to this fixed penetrometer reading. A fixed reading of 2.0 is preferable for races at Mumbai and Pune. A reading of 3.0, 3.5 may be preferred at Mysore. 3.0, 3.5, or 4.0 may be preferred at Bangalore and Hyderabad depending on the seasons. This reading may approximately represent the average penetrometer readings of the races under consideration for calculation, to reduce possible error if any. The following table may please be referred, for distance versus correction in time for every 0.1cm. difference in penetrometer reading.
Distance 1000m 1100 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000m
Correction 0.10sec. 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 sec. respectively.
Suppose in the example race under consideration, (1600m), if the penetrometer reading is 3.0 cms., and its effect has to be transferred to any fixed penetrometer reading, say 3.5 cms.,, the actual value in seconds is to be added (as the ground becomes slow and time increases as the penetrometer reading increases) to 1m 39.9 secs., as already calculated. The correction is (3.5-3.0)x(1/0.1)x0.16 = 0.8sec. Hence the corrected timing after applying penetrometer reading correction is 1m 39.9 sec. + 0.8 sec = 1m 40.7 secs.
If a horse at Mumbai (say penetrometer reading at Mumbai as 2.0 cms.) runs at Bangalore, 3.5cms. being the fixed penetrometer reading under consideration, the distance being 1600m, the effect of change in time to be added only as correction to difference in penetrometer reading is (3.5-2.0)x(1/0.1)x0.16 = 2.40 seconds. Penetrometer reading may be considered reliable upto the reading of 5.5 cms. Beyond this, the ground is considerably soft, and the horses run with a slow pace at the initial stage, resulting in slow timings. In such cases, it is better to go far another race with penetrometer reading of less than 5.5 cms., for the purpose of calculation.

CORRECTION DUE TO MEASURING DISTANCES ALONG FALSE RAILS:
If the distances are measured along the false rails, there is no need of applying correction due to false rails. But some other opposite correction becomes necessary. Roadometer is used to measure the distances on cement roads and B.T. roads. It is not suitable for measuring the distances on the race track. It is highly objectionable. Roadometer can even measure along the small curves of undulations resulting from the impressions of the legs of the horses. As a result the measured distance will become less than the actual distance. If the measurement has to be done it should be with a measuring chain, but not with roadometer. The following table gives approximate reduction in the distance.
Distance 1000m 1100 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000m
Reduction 10m 11 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30m respectively
In a distance of 1600m if measured along the false rails , a distance of 16 metres is reduced and the actual distance becomes 1584m, whereas under the condition of no false rails the distance remains 1600m., and if not measured the distance is more than 1600m. In the example considered, if the distance is measured along false rails, the timing has to be corrected to no false rails condition. The timing with placement correction + weight correction + penetrometer reading correction is 1m 39.8sec +0.6sec +0.5sec + 0.8sec = 1m 41.7sec. Correction due to measuring along false rails is 16m=5 lengths approximately ( 1 length is 3 metres roughly) = 5x0.2sec. = 1.0 sec. So the corrected timing is 1m 41.7sec. +1.0 sec. =1m 42.7 seconds. This is for one selected race. Like that one or two other close timing races may be selected for the previous runs of the same horse and the timing as explained may be worked out. The fastest (lowest) of all the timings may be selected to represent the stamina of the horse. Similar calculations are to be done for all the horses in a race for a fixed penetrometer reading. Out of all, the horse with the fastest timing is the likely winner, provided there is no mischief and the races are run on merit only.
PROPORTIONATE TIMINGS IN DIFFERENT DISTANCES:
(Applicable on plane and level race tracks only, not applicable on sloped race tracks. By observation it is applicable at Mumbai, Pune, Bangalore and Hyderabad and not applicable at Kolkota, Ooty and Mysore)
Suppose a race on a day is for 1600m and a horse running in the race has not run previously in the distance 1600m, but it has run only 1400m. Now the worked out timing as per above said calculations for 1400m has to be converted to 1600m proportionately with some correction for additional stamina as the distance is increased by 200m.. If the worked out timing for 1400m is 1m 31.0sec. (91 secnds), the proportionate timing for 1600m is (91/1400)x1600 = 104 secs., or 1m 44.0 seconds. An additional timing of 0.5 seconds may be added as stamina correction. So the calculated time becomes 1m 44.0 secs., + 0.5sec. = 1m 44.5secs. If the 1400m timing is to be converted into 1200m timing, the timing becomes (91/1400)x1200=78 secs., or 1m 18 secs. As the distance is reduced the stamina correction of 0.5 sec. has to be deducted. So the calcuted time becomes 1m 18 secs. - 0.5 sec.= 1m 17.5 secs. This type of correction for stamina is applicable for 200m on either side only. Beyond this stamina corrections may not be proportionate. Pedegree of the horse should also be considered. On sloped race tracks timings of horses with the same distances are to be compared. Proportionate timings of distances are not applicable. Trial and error method by close observation may be useful.
GENERAL:
1.) There is a difference of 5 lengths (1 second) in 1600 metres for a jockey with whip and without whip. 2.) There is a difference of 2.5 lengths (0.5 sec.) between a superior jockey and an inferior jockey both with whip. 3.) In a plate race, if there are 2 or 3 apprentice jockeys without whip, the horse with clear superior timings of these 3 jockeys should also be kept in jackpot races, along with one or two horses with superior timings. 4.) Psycology of trainers should also be studied. Some trainers won’t try to win, if the betting odds on the horse is very less. 5.) If a horse returns from a long rest , say 3 months or more, its timing is generally reduced by 1 second in a distance of 1600m. In the next one or two races it can regain its speed. 6.) The horses of 3,4,5 years of age have good stamina, and later their stamina gets diminished slowly. 7.) 3 year old horses are generally get improved with every race. For 3 year old horse with first run, internet odds at one hour before race may give some clue, besides track performance. 8.) Track timings should not be taken as authority. It only indicates that the horse is in good health and is in good form. Only the distance run timings should be taken as authority. 9.) Performance of the pedigree of horse is important, if the distance run of the horse is not readily available. In India horses with pedigree as Placerville (USA), Razeen(USA), Alnasr Alwasheek(GB), China Visit(USA) etc. are preferable for all distances, especially for long distances. Pedigree as Young Senor(USA) is prefferable for short distances. 10.) If at a same station there are races on two consecutive days with the same timings, and if the trainer and jockey of the winning horse on the first day are repeated on the second day at the same timings on two consecutive days, and if the horse is among the first four horses as per calculation on the second day, there is some astrological influence on the horse to win or take a place. If the name of the owner of the horse and part name of the horse also tallys the astrological influence is more. 11.) Penetrometer readings are not being given at Madras and Ooty races, width of false rails are not being given at Kolkota races. Hence the above calculations are not feasible fully at these stations. 12.) If the difference between the first two horses as per calculation is 5 lengths or more, the first horse is said to be a clear winner, if the horses run on merit. 13.) Horses with early draw numbers have advantage over others, if they have sufficient speed and takes lead and runs along rails, as the distance they they run is reduced by few lengths. over the others. 14.)Some horses wont be allowed to run at its merit in some seasons, though they come first in calculations. Such horses in the next season can win two or three races in a row. 15.) Race courses with firm grounds with penetrometer reading upto 2.5 give better results as per calculations. This applies to Mumbai, Pune, and Mysore. 16.) Regarding seasons, summer season gives better results followed by winter season. It is advisible to avoid rainy season. Greater caution is needed in rainy season. (ALSO REFER MY POST ON HORSE RACING AND ASTROLOGY - There is no need of knowledge in astrology).
Note; Most important correction is converting false rails time to no false rails time. This is applicable only if the distance of the no false rails are taken as marked even n false rails. If the distances are measured along the false rails using a rodometer, false rails correction need not be considered. In that case only correction due to measuring with rodometer is to be considered, which reduces time shortly. Also please examine whethere there is one curve are two curves in the distance. Penetrometer reading varies from place to place also from season to season in the same place. Normally original lengths are measured with a measuring chain. By meeasuring with a rodometer the lengths will increase. so the timings are to be corrected (reduced) to suit the original lengths of no false rails condition. Change in weight correction is minor upo 2000 meters and may be nelected if necessary. It may be considered for track lengts of more than 2000 meters. Think carefully and make your own corrections as you plase.

Please note the final correction to timing of a race horse.

1.)  All corrections should be for no false rails condition.

2.)  All corrections in time should be for a suitable approximate average penetrometer reading of the race center.

3.)  Correction should be up to the weight carried by the particular horse on the race day.

4.)  If the same distance run of the horse is not available for the sake of its timing the next nearby timing (200 meters difference)) may please be taken and proportionate distance may be calculated. After this proportionate correction increase the timing at 0.5 seconds extra for 200 meters, if the distance increases or vice versa.

5.)  If the distances are measured along the false rails (please verify video) false rails correction is not required. Only correction due to measuring with rodometer is to be followed.

6.)  Use your experience to improve further.

7.)   These suggestions are added to clarify doubts from some readers.

T V GUIDE

Thursday, August 12, 2010

SCIENCE VERSUS RELIGION

Science is a method of knowledge. Depending on certain observations and events, suitable theory is formed to explain all of them. This is science as a fundamental definition. Religion is mainly based on belief. Different religions have different faiths in their own Gods. But the supreme God is one common to all religions but with different names. Hindus call Him as Vishnu, Christians as Jehovah and Muslims as Allah. All religions pray their own God for their achievements. The success of their prayers mainly depends on their faith, concentration and how they are directing their prayers. Observation shows that several prayers of people of different religions are successful. Hence their should be something common to all religions. One thing is evidently clear. The supreme God is common, though with different names. If we closely observe we still find something more common to all religious prayers. It is THOUGHT POWER.
Suppose we temporarily keep the idea of God aside, and purely believe on our thought power and send our thought vibrations into space for achieving our desired effects, what happens? The effect is the same as in any religious prayer. Based on this autosuggestion and scientific meditation are formed. To improve the power of thought, methods like black spot gazing, cristal gazing, star gazing etc., came into existance. So by observation, THOUGHT POWER IS THE OPERATING SYSTEM OF HUMAN LIFE. This is a scientific theory and is seen to be true practically.
All these indicate, that when God created human life on earth, God has given thought power as an operating system of human life.
If we refer back into the long past of human history, India dominated in spiritualism. Ancient saints of India, who meditated in Himalayas for several years discovered this power of thought and its application. They also understood that the spirit of God, or some superior souls descend on earth occationally to guide the humans. Ordinary human being cannot understand the effects of thought power. If this thought power has to be generated in an ordinary man some thing like great faith has to be forced into their minds. So they have introduced religion to this effect. Those who pray will definitely be benifited. When we ask for, God gives. This is in every religion. We can ask through meditation (thought power) which is the principle operating system of human life. Simply this is SCIENCE OF THOUGHT TECHNOLOGY.
In India itself Hindus believe in dasavataras (descendant of God ten times). Like that God might have descended at other regions of earth. These descendancies of God at different regions of world may be called as regional desendancies of God, forming in different religions. As such it is not advisible to criticise other religions. One can follow his own religion without critisising other religions. If any one not interested in any religion or God, still he can utilise the thought technology and get benifited, as ultimate principle of all religious prayers is thought power. If one criticises another religion or the principles of thought technology, he is indirectly criticising the principle behind his own religious prayer and accordingly the power generated in his own religious prayers will be lost. One should properly understand this principle if he has to achieve benefits from his own religious prayers.
According to BIG BANG THEORY, the radius of the universe was zero about 15000 million years ago and its radius gradually increased to the present stage. This gives the impression that the foramtion of the universe started about 15000 million years ago. It has started its formation under the powers of a great spiritual source( may be called as God or Creator ). In the ancient days, the great saints of India who meditated in Himalayas for several years, used to create mini matter with their spiritual resources. Perhaps God might have given some mini spiritual powers to human beings under His creation. To utilise these spiritual resources properly, some great effort is needed for human beings. There is need to develope sixth sence in the human beings for this purpose. Souls of humans after death from this world can look into human activities more easily by intuition comparatively, as spiritual powers exists more powerfully and more easily in the life after death.
Science mainly developed under materialistic side, whereas religion developed on the spiritual side. There are several scientific inventions such as telephones televisions, electricity etc. to speak a few of them. These also exist on the spiritual side also. By telepathy one can talk to another, who also possesses telepathic powers, irrespective of distance. By the power of clairvoyance one can see the things of the present past and future (to some extent) also. We have seen some persons born with electricity, who can light a tube light, or even can withstand high voltage electricity passing through their bodies. Science also created destructive weapons that can destroy human beings and other forms of life. If we look into puranas(subject to verification and research, seems to be true theoretically), there are several who developed destructive powers by thapas (meditation) for several years. They were engaged in war with their destructive powers.
Ever since science started its development, there is continuous clash between science and religion. When the astronomer Galileo discovered that Earth and other planets revolve around the Sun, he was killed as his discovery was against a religion. Copernicus, another astronomer,  was afraid of religion to publish his discoveries. He only asked his son to publish his discoveries after his death. So great was the fight between science and religion in the ancient days. It is a fight between truth and belief. Naturally truth will win over belief in the near future.
Since the materialistic world emerged from the spiritual world, it is quite evident that whatever possible in the spiritual world may also be possible in the materialistic world. Thought power seems to be link between these two worlds. Spiritualism is gradully getting subsided giving way to scientific materialistic world. Right thinking benifits advancement of human beings.

Sunday, August 1, 2010

ARE OUR LIVES INDEPENDENT OR GOVERNED BY EXTERNAL FORCES LIKE PLANETS?

There is general opinion that everything happens as per the prearrangement and will of God. Most of the Saints of India are against this general opinion. They say that the position of planets at birth is so adjusted to suit the Karma of the previous birth. The normal life depends on the planetary positions at birth which was so adjusted to suit our Karma of the past birth. Since we are responsible for the planets position at birth, there should be some ability in us through spiritual resources in us to nullify the evil of planets and to utilise good of planets by doing good deeds and by meditation for good.
Now the question comes, that are we really governed by planets? If so how much utility of spiritual power is needed to nullify evil of planets and to utilise good of planets? There is need for investigation.
As a teenager I did not believe any such prearrangement of lives or the planetary influence on human lives. After the completion of my education, by reading some birthday forcasts by an astrologer Sri Peter Vidal in a newspaper, I got doubt about the relationship of planets and human life. I wanted to verify the truth personally and started reading books on astrology. The first book I read is " A to Z Horoscope Maker and Delineator" by Llewellyn George. It is the best book I read, though I read number of books in different astrologies. It gave me much scope to verify the relationship between the planets and human life.
One such instance is, as a biginner I have seen a horoscope wherein there is conjunction of planets Saturn and Sun with a difference of three degrees. The aspect is not nullified or reduced by other planets. It is in sign Taurus ruling throat/ neck. The aspect takes place in second house. The aspect can be full in three years time after the date of birth of the boy. Transiting Sun also joins the position of Saturn on the third day after birth. Due to support in transit it is possible to work out the exact date of evil, that is three years and three days after birth. The aspect indicates seriousness (even death) to an elderly person in the family. As I verified the maternal grand father of the boy died on the same day due to heart attack. When a close relative dies its inpressions can be found in all other horoscopes of close relatives. It is a law of nature. In olden days such evils are atributed to the boy, which is not correct. The impressions can be strong in the horoscope of the person who died and is carried forward as an indication in the horoscope of close relatives.
Another important thing to note is the conjunction of Sun and Saturn occurred in sign Taurus. Such conjunctions mark some permanant impressions on the bodily parts governed by Taurus (throat/neck), during aspect. The boy developed a white patch on the throat/neck, which no doctor could remove at later days.
The best way to verify astrology is to study the horoscope of self. I have come across wonders while verifying events from my own horoscope.
My horoscope is an example horoscope of the type, the astrologers search for. One of the great evil aspects of a horoscope is conjuction of the planets Saturn and Mars. For example, if the the same conjunction takes places in the sign Gemini and afflicted by Sun Moon or ascendant, usally a dead body is born without hands and legs by observation in astrology. The greatest evil position for this conjunction is in the first three degrees of the sign Aries in sayana system of western astrology. My horoscope possesses the same in the second house but unafflicted by Sun Moon or ascendant. There is another very good aspect of the conjuction of three planets Sun Jupitor and Venus in the sign Aquarius but in the twelth house and in square aspect to Uranus from the sign Taurus. This has power only to save me from any possibility of death resulting from evil conjuction only at the last moment. The second house rules finances and feelings of the individual, whereas the twelveth house rules the hidden life of the unconcious, seclusion, limitations etc. Just to indicate the power of evil I like to state an example. When the progresed ascendant touched this conjunction of Saturn and Mars in the second house in 1968 my father died, and I did not possess even a rupee for his funeral. More than anything else this evil conjunction affected my feelings most of my life period right upto the point of death. When I was about to die just one year before entering Engineering College, the help came from within ( that is from the subconcious mind) and meditation was born within me automatically ) duly nullifying the power of evil to a great extent. As a result my life vibrated between life and death due to one great evil and another great good and I have understood several secrets governing human life. Most of my writings on thought power and meditation are based on my personal experiences. One great evil aspect is not allowing me to live and another great good aspect is not allowing me to die. Due to the inter action between the two I am forced to meet with many secrets of life.( For details please read the post on the subject ' Secrets from experience').
A DREAM SAVED MY LIFE:
A dream in my teenage really saved my life. We were living in an old type of house with stone slabs and earth laid over wooden beams and rafters. One night I had a dream indicating that the beam was cracked and hanging at the place where I sleep. The very next day was an Independence Day. In those days the celebrations were from morning to evening. So I was busy attending to celebrations. But the dream was continuously striking my mind, disturbing me from enjoying the celebrations. The next day when I got up in the morning, my sight directly fell on the wooden beam. I noticed a small crack in the beam. When I examined it closely, the crack was extending more than half of the beam. One more rain (usually it comes in the night) would have resulted in the breakdown and fall of the beam and roof over me. Moreover it was rainy season. When I informed the house owner, it was just a running race for him. He could manage to get a vertical support with a wooden log and erect it in no time. My dream saved me from near death.
     Life is not a simple one. Nobody knows what exactly life is and when and why and how it came into existence. Also the secrets of creation are also not known. It is also not known why humans are so intelligent compared to other living species? There are many theories regarding the creation of universe and the end of the universe. Many believe that the universe has come out of great thought power of God. And humans are also associated with similar mini thought power of God, through which they can approach God. Human life seems to be the resultant action of spiritual resources of humans and planetary positions at birth resulting in past Karma of previous births. If one follows closely his thoughts and actions and the circumstances, he can understand many secrets of life.